Lookin At Lucky tops final three-year-old poll

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06/07/2010 - New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Preakness Stakes winner Lookin At Lucky came out in first again in the final NTRA Thoroughbred Three-Year-Old Poll of 2010. The colt was followed by Kentucky Derby champ Super Saver and Belmont Stakes winner Drosselmeyer.

Lookin At Lucky garnered 17 first-place votes and 197 points in the final balloting. That's an increase of one first-place vote and 10 points over last week's tally.

Super Saver, who along with Lookin At Lucky did not run in the Belmont, finished second with a single first-place vote and 159 points. The colt lost a first-place vote from last week.

Drosselmeyer had not received any points in the next-to-last poll, but finished third in the final one with 154 points. The Travers Stakes is on his schedule for the summer.

"We'd like to think, come Saratoga time, at the end of the meet, they run the Travers, and that maybe he'd have an opportunity to run in there," said Drosselmeyer's trainer Bill Mott. "That's what I'm hoping."

Preakness runner-up First Dude, third in the Belmont, moved up one to fourth in the poll with 119 points.

Belmont runner-up Fly Down jumped from 11th with 23 points to fifth with 93. Fly Down had defeated Drosselmeyer in the Dwyer Stakes last month.

Holding steady at sixth is the retired Eskendereya with one first-place vote and 71 points.

Filly Blind Luck came in second in Saturday's Hollywood Oaks and fell from fourth to seventh. She picked up one first-place vote and 64 points.

Ice Box, second in the Run for the Roses, finished eighth in the Belmont Stakes as the 9-5 favorite and dropped from third to eighth in the poll. He finished with 57 points.

Wood Memorial runner-up Jackson Bend is ninth with 51 points and Santa Anita Derby champ Sidney's Candy completes the top 10 with 28 points.

There were no significant changes in the NTRA Thoroughbred Poll, which continues through the Breeders' Cup in November.

Zenyatta, who will start in Sunday's Vanity Handicap, is the top vote-getter with 13 first-place votes and 184 points. Her lead has been reduced to two with Met Mile winner Quality Road receiving seven first-place votes and 182 points.

Lookin At Lucky is third with 123 points followed by Rachel Alexandra (75), Misremembered (71), Super Saver (59), Blame (54), Blind Luck (48), Unrivaled Belle (36) and Tuscan Evening (32).

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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Huskers' Lucky hospitalized for undisclosed reason

LINCOLN, Neb. -- Nebraska running back Marlon Lucky was hospitalized Monday for undisclosed reasons after Lincoln police responded to a call at his residence.

The Nebraska athletic department said in a release Monday that Lucky was admitted Sunday night.

MySportsbook.com has the Cornhuskers listed at +2500 to win the BCS National Championship odds.

A nursing supervisor at the hospital said all questions about Lucky were being referred to the athletic department. The athletic department said there would be no further comment from the department or Lucky's family.

A Lincoln Police spokesman said officers responded to a call at Lucky's residence 11:30 p.m. Sunday. The spokesman said he didn't know Lucky's condition at the time he was taken to the hospital.

Lucky, from North Hollywood, Calif., started six games last season as a sophomore and was the team's second-leading rusher, with 728 yards and six touchdowns. He also caught 32 passes for 383 yards. He averaged 19.1 yards on eight kickoff returns.

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